Author: Ramsay Capital Group

Stocks rebounded last week as investor optimism for a September rate adjustment and strong Q2 corporate results overcame the rollout of fresh tariffs.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 2.43 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index gained 3.87 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.35 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, increased 2.77 percent.^1,2

Stocks Gyrate

Stocks pushed higher to start the week, with major averages gaining between 1.3 percent and 2 percent—their best day since May. Investors seemed more optimistic for a rate move after the weaker-than-expected July jobs report.^3,4

Stocks rose again midweek after the White House confirmed a mega-cap tech company would invest $500 billion more in domestic manufacturing. News of additional tariffs on India was greeted with a muted reaction from investors.⁵

The updated tariffs previously announced by the White House went into effect on Thursday. Markets initially rose in early trading but then came under pressure as the day continued.⁶

But the S&P and Dow rose again on Friday, ending the week with solid gains. The tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the week with a record close.⁷

Economy Watch

Services comprise 70 percent of the economy, so Wall Street closely monitors the Institute for Supply Management’s Services Index.

So, news on Tuesday that growth in services came below economists’ expectations was a bit of a concern. However, investors seemed to quickly look past the number and focus more on the 122 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings last week.^8,9

Footnotes and Sources

1. ^{WSJ.com, August 8, 2025}
2. ^{Investing.com, August 8, 2025}  
3. ^{MarketWatch.com, August 4, 2025}
4. ^{CNBC.com, August 5, 2025}
5. ^{CNBC.com, August 6, 2025}
6. ^{WSJ.com, August 7, 2025}
7. ^{WSJ.com, August 8, 2025}
8. ^{WSJ.com, August 5, 2025}
9. ^{Advantage.FactSet.com, August 1, 2025}

Stocks fell last week as investors assessed progress on trade negotiations, new U.S. tariffs, and fresh data on the U.S. economy.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 2.36 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index declined 2.17 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 2.92 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, lost 2.95 percent.^1,2

Action-Packed Week

Stocks largely went sideways over the first half of the week as investors waited for more Q2 corporate results, fresh economic data, and the Fed decision.

The U.S.-E.U. trade agreement announced over the weekend had a muted impact on the market as the week began. Stocks then retreated as China trade talks appeared to stall, with the Dow declining the most of the three major averages through midweek.^3,4

Stocks gained on Wednesday morning after the latest gross domestic product (GDP) report showed consumer spending powered the economy back to 3 percent annualized growth in Q2. That afternoon, the Federal Reserve announced they were holding rates steady, which put some pressure on stocks.⁵

Selling pressure continued on July’s final trading day as investors continued to fret about the Fed’s next move. The Personal Consumption and Expenditures (PCE) Index—the Fed’s favored inflation metric—showed a June uptick in core goods prices, unsettling investors.⁵

Stocks were under pressure from the opening bell on Friday as investors sorted through fresh tariff announcements from the White House, a softer-than-expected July jobs report, and mixed Q2 corporate reports from two megacap tech names.^6,7

Mixed Economic Signals

There was a trove of economic data for investors to parse last week.

First, there was economic growth. While 3 percent GDP growth in Q2 is a solid step up from a 0.5 percent contraction in Q1, consumer spending largely drove the increase, offset by slower business spending—especially investment in equipment and buildings.⁸

The PCE report showed why the Fed remains focused on inflation. Finally, Friday’s jobs report pointed to a slowdown in hiring in July. A bit more concerning was that the jobs data from prior months were revised lower.

The Fed has no meeting in August, with three other meetings scheduled for 2025.

Footnotes and Sources

1. ^{WSJ.com, August 1, 2025}
2. ^{Investing.com, August 1, 2025}
3. ^{CNBC.com, July 28, 2025}
4. ^{CNBC.com, July 29, 2025}
5. ^{WSJ.com, July 31, 2025}
6. ^{MarketWatch.com, August 1, 2025}
7. ^{WSJ.com, August 1, 2025}
8. ^{WSJ.com, July 30, 2025}

Expectation-beating Q2 results from several companies, trade updates, and investor optimism for more trade agreements pushed market averages to solid gains.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index advanced 1.46 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index added 1.02 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.26 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, gained 2.16 percent.^1,2

Earnings, Trade Lift Markets

Stocks showed mixed results the first couple of days last week. Optimism around the Q2 corporate reporting season gave way to mostly positive market reaction as the actual corporate reports started to roll in. The S&P 500 edged ahead to two record closes despite pressure on chipmakers.³

Trade negotiations took center stage midweek after the White House announced an agreement with Japan. Stocks extended the rally after news that the U.S. and European Union were approaching an agreement. The Nasdaq closed above 21,000 for the first time on Wednesday, while the S&P hit its 12th record close this year.⁴

Stocks continued their climb after one megacap tech firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. The S&P 500 logged record closing highs every session, while the Nasdaq closed at record highs on 4 of the 5 days.^5,6

A Tale of Two Houses, Times Two

When fresh housing data emerged this week, one number stood out: new homes are now nearly 8 percent cheaper than existing homes.

The median sales price of a new home in June was $401,800, compared with $435,300 for an existing home—an all-time high. Homebuilders have been reducing prices in an attempt to attract potential buyers.⁷

But there’s another tale of two houses: national versus regional.

Existing home prices rose 2.7 percent last month over May. In the Northeast, where inventory is still constrained, prices rose 4.2 percent in June. However, the market is softening in many other regions of the country. In the South, for example, prices only rose 0.3 percent. Homes stay on the market for longer, and inventory rises, leading some to conclude that it’s a buyer’s market.⁸

Footnotes and Sources

1. ^{WSJ.com, July 25, 2025}
2. ^{Investing.com, July 25, 2025}
3. ^{CNBC.com, July 22, 2025}
4. ^{CNBC.com, July 23, 2025}
5. ^{WSJ.com, July 24, 2025}
6. ^{CNBC.com, July 25, 2025}
7. ^{MarketWatch.com, July 24, 2025}
8. ^{MarketWatch.com, July 23, 2025}

Stocks were mixed last week, battling through tariff talk while responding to upbeat quarterly corporate reports and a trove of updates on the economy.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.59 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index added 1.51 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 0.07 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, skidded 0.46 percent.^1,2

Economic News

All three major market averages posted modest gains to start the week as investors appeared to shrug off tough talk on trade from the White House over the weekend.³

Stocks mostly fell after news that inflation warmed up a bit last month, albeit in line with economists’ expectations. A narrow, chip-led rally developed after a megacap chipmaker said it received assurances from the White House of its ability to sell products in China, pushing the Nasdaq modestly higher.⁴

Stocks continued their climb over the next session following news that consumer spending rebounded last month as trade talk slowed. The S&P 500 posted another record close amid several companies beating expectations as they reported quarterly financials.^5,6

Markets went slightly lower on Friday despite news that consumer sentiment rose last month. The consumer sentiment report also showed a drop in concerns about tariff-induced inflation.⁷

Splitting the Difference

Two themes developed with fresh economic data released last week: inflation and consumers.

First, June inflation data painted a mixed picture. While consumer prices rose at a 2.7 percent annual clip last month (faster than May’s 2.4 percent rate), wholesale inflation was flat. So while retail prices were a concern, wholesale prices currently suggest a muted effect from tariffs.^8,9

The second theme revolved around consumers, who continued to be a source of strength for the economy. Retail sales recovered in June, and while they were still lower than at year-end, consumer sentiment rose to its highest level since February.¹⁰

Footnotes and Sources

1. ^{WSJ.com, July 18, 2025}
2. ^{Investing.com, July 18, 2025}
3. ^{CNBC.com, July 14, 2025}
4. ^{WSJ.com, July 15, 2025}
5. ^{CNBC.com, July 16, 2025}
6. ^{CNBC.com, July 17, 2025}
7. ^{CNBC.com, July 18, 2025}
8. ^{WSJ.com, July 15, 2025}
9. ^{MarketWatch.com, July 16, 2025}
10. ^{MarketWatch.com, July 17, 2025}

Stocks were slightly lower last week, while looking past news of fresh U.S. tariffs on nearly two dozen countries.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.31 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index edged lower by 0.08 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.02 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, slipped 0.43 percent.^1,2

The Return of the Tariffs

Stocks started the week lower after the White House posted letters to 14 countries announcing new tariffs, set to take effect August 1. They included 25 percent tariffs on South Korea and Japan.^3,4

Stocks dropped briefly midweek after the White House announced tariffs on seven additional countries. But as investors digested the news, markets gradually recovered, hoping the administration would dial back its steepest tariff rates again.

Markets also rallied on fresh AI trade enthusiasm and the latest Fed meeting minutes, which showed a majority of Committee members were open to adjusting interest rates later this year.^5,6

Markets opened higher on Thursday as investors shrugged off news of the 50 percent tariff on Brazil imports, announced shortly after Wednesday’s close. Momentum continued, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose to fresh records.⁷

Then, after Thursday’s close, the White House announced the U.S. was raising tariffs on Canadian imports to 35 percent and was preparing some other tariffs. Markets opened lower on Friday and trended sideways during the trading session.⁸

The T Word

While tariffs drove market headlines last week, another “t word” made news: trillion.

More specifically, $4 trillion in market capitalization. The nation’s largest AI chip maker was the first company to breach that market cap level. It crossed the $4 trillion mark intraday on Wednesday, then closed above it for the first time on Thursday’s close.^9,10

So why does it matter when one stock hits such a milestone? For a market-cap weighted index like the S&P 500, a company valued at $4 trillion has an outsized effect on the overall index’s performance. The largest five companies in the S&P 500 comprise about one-third of the benchmark index.^9,10

Footnotes and Sources

1. ^{WSJ.com, July 11, 2025}
2. ^{Investing.com, July 11, 2025}
3. ^{CNBC.com, July 7, 2025}
4. ^{CNBC.com, July 8, 2025}
5. ^{WSJ.com, July 9, 2025}
6. ^{MarketWatch.com, July 9, 2025}
7. ^{CNBC.com, July 10, 2025}
8.  ^{CNBC.com, July 11, 2025}
9. ^{WSJ.com, July 9, 2025}
10. ^{MarketWatch.com, July 10, 2025}